what exactly do you disagree with ?
he predicted obama would win north dakota , he lost
The only polling outfit in ND missed the mark by as much as his prediction did.
That's your basis for saying he's not a good analyst? That was one state out of 50, where there was very little data available. I know you can do better than that...
If you want to go with his predictions go right ahead .
However if you are going to post rasmussen tracking numbers , you might as well post their electoral maps as well .
Its on the front page .
You can't miss it lol.
Where is their map? Care to give a link?
You can find the information yourself , do some reasearch on your own.
Its not that hard to find.
I anticipate your next question when you find your way over to the site is , you said map and I don't see one there.
You said the map is on their main page; I don't see a map there. It's not a problem with me if I never see their map. If you think it is important for people like me to see it, then I suggest that you provide a link. But again, if you don't I'll survive.
OK Lori, I understand you didn't mean they have a map. However Rasmussen has this:
Rasmussen Reports is pleased to announce that it will be including poll averages from FiveThirtyEight.com in its Balance of Power Calculator.
FiveThirtyEight.com has developed a model for averaging state-by-state polls based upon the timing of the poll, the reliability of the polling firm, and other factors. The site's name comes from the total number of Electoral College votes available to the Presidential candidates. Rasmussen Reports will aggregate the FiveThirtyEight.com averages and other data to provide a comprehensive assessment of the state-by-state race for the White House.
Scott Rasmussen, President of Rasmussen Reports, noted that "Nate Silver and fivethirtyeight.com are a great example of how the online community is improving election coverage. His quantitative approach is a welcome addition to the debate and a valuable resource for any serious electoral analyst or armchair campaign manager."
Silver said, "I'm thrilled to be working with Rasmussen Reports in this endeavor. In addition to being one of the most active and reliable pollsters, Scott and his team have made every effort to consider other sources of information in order to provide their readers with the most comprehensive electoral picture possible".
The FiveThirtyEight.com averages will be featured along with new polling data released this week by Rasmussen Reports (methodology).
In addition to the FiveThirtyEight.com average, data inputs for the Balance of Power Calculator include the latest Rasmussen Reports poll in a state, an average of the latest polling from other firms, Rasmussen Markets data, Intrade market data, the aggregated rankings of selected analysts, the state's voting history, and national trends. The weight given to each variable varies over time (i.e.--polls will be counted more heavily in October than today, a state's history will be counted more heavily today than in October).
Currently, the Balance of Power Calculator shows Barack Obama ahead in states with 200 Electoral College votes and John McCain leads in states with 189. When "leaners" are added, Obama leads 260-240.
So apparently Rasmussen considers Poblano as a collaborator. I'm sure they are more positive about his work than your posts were...
It obviously drives you crazy to see Obama doing well in the polls, lori.
I wonder who you want to win.
That's your basis for saying he's not a good analyst?
- I didn't say that .
However like I said you can rely on him if you want , its your choice.
I was just curious why you posted rasmussen tracking numbers and not their electoral map .
Whatever rocks your boat anyway.
That guys predictions missed the mark in the primaries. Best not to rely on him.
Best not to rely on him.
Just wondering why you hold that opinion. By all accounts, the guy's methodology has been dead on in most cases.
he won North Dakota... with 61%.
Yes, the problem with Poblano's methodology is that it that the north gets mixed up with the south, and the rudder with the bowsprit, sometimes...
